Helping the Welsh Government to analyse the Pembrokeshire economy
We were appointed by the Welsh Government to analyse the case for improvements to the A40 between St. Clears and Haverfordwest in west Wales, where the road reduces from dual to single carriageway. This study followed the announcement of the closure of the Murco oil refinery in Milford Haven and the need to provide an economic stimulus for the area.
Our study included connectivity analysis, a baselining exercise, consultation with key stakeholders and a business survey, the outcomes of which were used to assess the likely economic and employment impacts of road improvements on Pembrokeshire. This included analysis of the distribution of economic impacts and of net additional impacts at the Welsh level generated in part by addressing a perception that Pembrokeshire is ‘far away’. These impacts were framed within a set of transmission mechanisms which set out the logic of how improving transport connections to the area could bring benefits. Although Welsh Government appraisal guidance (WelTAG) based, the study drew on the Economic Activity and Location Impacts analysis developed in Scotland.
Our study findings were used by Welsh Government to progress road proposals in this corridor, improving connectivity to this part of south west Wales.
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